Something that gives me hope

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Belushi TD
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Something that gives me hope

Post by Belushi TD »

Something that gives me hope is the following article.

https://quotulatiousness.ca/blog/2026/0 ... ring-2024/
In the latest SHuSH newsletter, Ken Whyte considers the size of the North American book market at most recent count:

I’m often asked by writers about the prospects of a particular book. I try to be encouraging. If it’s a good book, there’s undoubtedly an audience for it. At the same time, I try to be realistic. It’s a crowded market and it’s often difficult even for a good book to find its audience.

If asked to explain just how crowded the market for books is today, I usually say something like, there are about two million books published in North America every year. I’m not sure where I got that figure from. Probably from some research I read five years ago.

Turns out it’s wrong. “The total number of books published in the US in 2025 with ISBN numbers jumped 32.5% over 2024 to more than four million books,” announced Publishers Weekly on March 17.

I can’t get over that number. Four million books.

An average reader might get through about 2,000 books in a lifetime. A long-lived super-reader churning through 70 or 80 a year may exceed 5,000. Gladstone’s reading logs suggest that he engaged with more than 20,000 books, but it’s not clear he read them all.

A large independent bookstore might carry between 10,000 and 30,000 books. A suburban chain store, 60,000 to 120,000. The Barnes & flagship at Union Square in Manhattan has hundreds of thousands of books on four massive floors. Powell’s City of Books in Portland, occupying an entire city block—you need a map to get from room to room—has at least a half million books, and by some counts a million. New York’s The Strand, which boasts 18 miles of books, new and used, is probably the world’s biggest bricks-and-mortar retailer: it has 2.5 million books on incredibly dense shelving. You’d need a Powell’s, a Strand, and a couple of B&N Union Squares to hold four million titles.

Four million books is equivalent in volume to the holdings of a good-sized university library system, or a large public library system—collections built over a century. And these are published in a single year.

In 1939, the year Margaret Atwood was born, The Library of Congress, widely recognized as the largest library in the world, home to a civilization’s worth of books, boasted about six million titles, including pamphlets. It’s now holding about 25 million, and the US alone is on pace to produce that many titles between now and the end of the decade.

Four million books. That’s 11,000 books a day. Four hundred and fifty books an hour.

A year ago, there were “only” 3.15 million books, traditional and self-published, released. So 2025 represents an increase of 32.5 percent. Self-publishing was up just under 39 percent. Traditional publishing about 6.6 percent. Publishers Weekly doesn’t offer much of an explanation for the explosion of new titles. AI has to be a major factor (see this week’s publishing sensation in The New York Times.)

Of course, most of the four million books are not worth your time. Only 642,242 of the titles were released by traditional publishers. A traditional publisher doesn’t guarantee quality, but it suggests a minimum of vetting. The search for merit among self-published books is easily frustrated.

Bowker, the service that counts the ISBNs (the unique thirteen-digit identifiers attached to each book), does not distinguish among formats. Many of the four million were published only as ebooks. And some books published as print, ebook, and audiobook are triple-counted. There may only be about 2.5 million distinct works in that total.

If one were to take the colouring books, planners, puzzle books, and AI-generated garbage out of the equation, we might be down to 1.5 million meaningfully distinct books. And of all those, maybe 1 to 3 percent, or 20,000 to 50,000, will sell over 1,000 copies. That puts some perspective on the four million.
While the vast majority of them are probably dreck, the good part of it is that they're GETTING PUBLISHED and are avaialble. And yes, I know lots of them are vanity publishing, where a large print run is 20 or so copies. Even so, it makes me happy that people are able to get their work out in public. Information is being disseminated. People can find what they are looking for and are not being stifled by the mainstream publishing companies.

Even with the downside of obvious bullshit ending up in print, the benefit of availability of good stuff far outweighs the bad stuff.

Belushi TD
gtg947h
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Re: Something that gives me hope

Post by gtg947h »

Belushi TD wrote: Tue Mar 24, 2026 4:28 pm People can find what they are looking for and are not being stifled by the mainstream publishing companies.

Even with the downside of obvious bullshit ending up in print, the benefit of availability of good stuff far outweighs the bad stuff.
Do their stats include e-books? (Disregard, I read it again.) I rarely buy dead tree these days; I feel a little bad about that but electronic copies don't take up nearly as much space in the house...

But yes, as much as I gripe about garbage on the interwebs, the democratization of information publishing does have some really good upsides. I've read, watched, and learned things I never would have otherwise.

But speaking of dreck getting published, I really need to start working on the book I've wanted to write for a decade....
Belushi TD
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Re: Something that gives me hope

Post by Belushi TD »

gtg947h wrote: Tue Mar 24, 2026 5:10 pm
Belushi TD wrote: Tue Mar 24, 2026 4:28 pm People can find what they are looking for and are not being stifled by the mainstream publishing companies.

Even with the downside of obvious bullshit ending up in print, the benefit of availability of good stuff far outweighs the bad stuff.
Do their stats include e-books? (Disregard, I read it again.) I rarely buy dead tree these days; I feel a little bad about that but electronic copies don't take up nearly as much space in the house...

But yes, as much as I gripe about garbage on the interwebs, the democratization of information publishing does have some really good upsides. I've read, watched, and learned things I never would have otherwise.

But speaking of dreck getting published, I really need to start working on the book I've wanted to write for a decade....
You've a book?

Please put it out there. I'll be happy to budget and (eventually) buy the book. Just give me a link.

Belushi TD
gtg947h
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Re: Something that gives me hope

Post by gtg947h »

Belushi TD wrote: Tue Mar 24, 2026 5:17 pm You've a book?
No, I have an idea for a book :oops:

Been wanting to write a young adult science fiction novel (kinda like Heinlein's juveniles) for years but family, work, and other stuff eat up the time I'd have to write. I told myself I'd at least have a plot outline by the end of 2025, and instead we bought a house and moved.

I should probably try my hand at some short stories first, but I don't know how much time I'll have for writing until I can improve my employment situation...
Belushi TD
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Re: Something that gives me hope

Post by Belushi TD »

gtg947h wrote: Tue Mar 24, 2026 6:53 pm I should probably try my hand at some short stories first, but I don't know how much time I'll have for writing until I can improve my employment situation...
Not to be a pain in the ass, but we DO happen to have a subforum specifically for that....

Any way I can help/encourage your writing?

Belushi TD
Nik_SpeakerToCats
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Re: Something that gives me hope

Post by Nik_SpeakerToCats »

Had a couple of friends complain their e-books have a nasty tendency to softly vanish away...
--
Independent of R-eye's cataract op, its retinal bleed has now sorta-settled thanks to slow-release steroid delivered by an intra-ocular pellet implant. Which floats. So, after a while spent sleeping one way, it sorta 'swans' across field of view when you wake, sit up...

When *sufficiently* settled, I can get prescription spectacles' lens to correct residual astigmatism plus long-sighted cataract replacement lens...

And, next Monday, L-eye's cataract gets tackled. In a while, the residual astigmatism and long-sighted lens get 'prescribed' for spectacles.

I used to read fiction at a book an hour or so (!!) but now have *two* waist-high piles of dead-tree to tackle, plus a third pile of magazines / journals etc etc.

My 'City of Fresno' only progressed due to heroic screen zooming: 16 point hi-vis APHont for the win !!

Oddly, 'CoF' has also had a recent rush: From barely crafting one chapter per week, I wrote five in ten days. FIFO editing / tweaking buffer now 'healthy', as I've begun organising the 'needful' for #129...
If you cannot see the wood for the trees, deploy LIDAR.
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jemhouston
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Re: Something that gives me hope

Post by jemhouston »

In 2009, I went to Portland, Or. Powell City of Books was the top item to visit. I was planning on a revisit, I've cancelled that for now.


I prefer dead tree books to e-books. I've heard of cases of publishers yanking them off the device. Not to mention I can selling after a while. Some books I have in both formats. I have some of Stuart's in both.
Belushi TD
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Re: Something that gives me hope

Post by Belushi TD »

I visited Powell in...... March, 2002, I believe. Intended to take a hour or two and just walk around. Spent 6 hours, and almost had to take a job for a few days to get gas money to drive back to Denver!

Belushi TD
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jemhouston
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Re: Something that gives me hope

Post by jemhouston »

Leaving out the Portland craziness, the biggest problem I had with Powell was the parking. I also went to Filson and REI downtown, same issue.

Don't think I got to Danner, but I did hit the Leatherman Factor store. The factory tour day was the same day I left to drive along the Columbia river.

I did accidently come across a tea place. While I was in their store, I heard the tail end of tour given the company president. It sounded interesting.
Belushi TD
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Re: Something that gives me hope

Post by Belushi TD »

I got ludicrously lucky to find parking in the lot right next to the door. I pulled in just as someone was loading what seemed to be an insane pile of books into the trunk of the car. I double parked, got out, offered to help the little old lady load, and then when she pulled out, I pulled right in.

Belushi TD
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