Search found 271 matches
- Tue May 13, 2025 2:46 am
- Forum: History and Warfare
- Topic: The Strategic Air Command by GEN LeMay (Jan 1954)
- Replies: 0
- Views: 394
The Strategic Air Command by GEN LeMay (Jan 1954)
EDIT -- This appears to be substantially the same speech that was given to the representatives of all services at SAC Headquarters, Offutt Air Force Base, Omaha, on 15 March, 1954 by SAC's Deputy Director of Ops. Basically the "Smoking Radiating Ruin at the end of Two Hours" Speech. Compar...
- Mon May 12, 2025 11:03 am
- Forum: Essays
- Topic: The Big One's Pre-Historic Threads
- Replies: 8
- Views: 2131
Re: The Big One's Pre-Historic Threads
It’s very much a golden age of not just knowledge creation but knowledge dissemination. I'm currently using the French Mistral AI -- right mix of pricing $14/month and free testing to see if my use case worked to transcribe stuff I've had for at least 10-12 years, but the quality was too poor to OC...
- Sun May 11, 2025 5:35 pm
- Forum: History and Warfare
- Topic: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
- Replies: 62
- Views: 4213
Re: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
From a Soviet military journal circa July 1961 https://www.cia.gov/readingroom/docs/1962-04-30.pdf During 1960, SAC conducted four large exarcises, Full Play - February 1960; Sky Shield - September 1960; Big Play - October 1960; Full Coordination - November 1960, with the actual participation of up ...
- Fri May 09, 2025 1:43 am
- Forum: History and Warfare
- Topic: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
- Replies: 62
- Views: 4213
Re: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
https://nsarchive2.gwu.edu/NSAEBB/NSAEBB130/SIOP-21.pdf
17 January 1961 guidance:
17 January 1961 guidance:
NSTAP prescribes 75% assurance of delivery at each bomb release line of the necessary weapons to achieve the specified levels of damage to targets on the NSTL.
- Fri May 09, 2025 12:55 am
- Forum: History and Warfare
- Topic: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
- Replies: 62
- Views: 4213
Re: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
This is the SIOP that went "hot" in August 1962 and was active during the Cuban Missile Crisis... https://nsarchive2.gwu.edu/nukevault/ebb236/SIOP-63.pdf HISTORY OF THE JOINT STRATECIC TARGET PLANNING STAFF: PREPARATION OF SIOP-63 HISTORY & RESEARCH DIVISION HEADQUARTERS STRATEGIC AIR ...
- Fri May 09, 2025 12:28 am
- Forum: History and Warfare
- Topic: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
- Replies: 62
- Views: 4213
Re: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
I'm not sure we are ever going to have the full answer when the aircraft as opposed to space plane based component of SAC or its successor is still in business. Although thinking along these lines a part of me thinks the answer is probably less than everyone assumed. https://nsarchive2.gwu.edu/NSAE...
- Mon May 05, 2025 10:30 pm
- Forum: Essays
- Topic: The Nuclear Game(s) by Stuart
- Replies: 21
- Views: 17663
Re: The Nuclear Game(s) by Stuart
So lets look at a typical targeting problem in an average sort of strike. We are going to give the capital of Outer Loonyistan a really thorough seeing to. Now we don't just explode a bomb in the center of the city and say bye-bye. Believe it or not that won't do any real good. Initiate a 1 megaton...
- Mon May 05, 2025 9:53 pm
- Forum: History and Warfare
- Topic: Sentinel ICBM will need mostly new Silos...
- Replies: 24
- Views: 1550
Sentinel ICBM will need mostly new Silos...
https://breakingdefense.com/2025/05/air-force-now-expects-sentinel-icbms-will-predominantly-need-new-silos/ Air Force now expects Sentinel ICBMs will ‘predominantly’ need new silos “Part of the requirements, initially — ten years ago when this program was started — was to reuse the holes, the missil...
- Sun May 04, 2025 6:20 am
- Forum: Essays
- Topic: The Nuclear Game(s) by Stuart
- Replies: 21
- Views: 17663
Re: The Nuclear Game(s) by Stuart
A slightly different version of Stuart's "Lectures" was recovered from the Fallout 3 forums of all places: https://www.giantbomb.com/fallout-3/3030-20504/forums/nuclear-warfare-101-wall-of-text-alert-2999/ =========================== From: "Stuart Slade" <shiva06804@yahoo.com> Da...
- Sun May 04, 2025 5:55 am
- Forum: History and Warfare
- Topic: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
- Replies: 62
- Views: 4213
Re: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
"The SAC Alert System 1956-1970" says: "When operating at peak strength during the [Cuban] crisis, approximately 65 airborne B-52s and 240 nuclear weapons were 'target effective' at any given time." In "Strategic Air Command Operations in the Cuban Crisis of 1962" the c...
- Sun May 04, 2025 2:35 am
- Forum: History and Warfare
- Topic: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
- Replies: 62
- Views: 4213
Re: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
You've forgotten Victor and Valiant and Vulcan in the bomber calculations. Plus whatever the French had. Well, the context of that post was reconstructing data from WSEG-50, which is what was handed to McNamara in 1960, and helped form a large basis of his decisions for the later 1960ies; so the V ...
- Sat May 03, 2025 4:36 pm
- Forum: History and Warfare
- Topic: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
- Replies: 62
- Views: 4213
Re: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
The primary land-based bomber weapons for the 1960s were, per Chuck Hansen's SWORDS OF ARMAGEDDON -- This had to be done to figure out the megatonnage deliverable by bombers to enable cost/efficiency calculations. RAF/US Canberras 1700~ Mark 7 Fission (1952-1967) (8/19/22/30/31/61 KT, 1600 lbs) B-58...
- Sat May 03, 2025 4:00 am
- Forum: History and Warfare
- Topic: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
- Replies: 62
- Views: 4213
Re: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
Even wikipedia has declassified info now; namely a 30 July 1963 JCS briefing, with some interesting slides
- Sat May 03, 2025 2:24 am
- Forum: History and Warfare
- Topic: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
- Replies: 62
- Views: 4213
Re: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
BTW, I love it when censors screw up and allow me to recover totally obliterated data with some precision by scaling off said graph.
- Fri May 02, 2025 8:35 pm
- Forum: History and Warfare
- Topic: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
- Replies: 62
- Views: 4213
Re: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
Stuart has heavily implied, if not outright said, that all of the publicly available numbers for CEP on US systems were a bunch of hokum. The actual ones were heavily, heavily classified, and anyone who did have access to them wasn't talking. I can't help but wonder how much of Stu's POV/worldview ...
- Fri May 02, 2025 7:59 pm
- Forum: History and Warfare
- Topic: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
- Replies: 62
- Views: 4213
Re: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
I'd be very careful about using those numbers for anything but casual comparisons. The source that Stumpf cited for MM3 CEP (and MM2) etc was: "History of the Strategic Air Command, FY1970" Volume II - Narrative, Redacted Copy, DNSA, NT00923 pp. 274-275. Snippets of this study are online,...
- Thu May 01, 2025 11:02 pm
- Forum: History and Warfare
- Topic: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
- Replies: 62
- Views: 4213
Re: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
From Minuteman by Stumpf: The CEP estimates approved by the JCS for use in SIOP Revision G, 1 January through 30 June 1970, for Minuteman IB with the Mark 11 and Minuteman II with the Mark 11C were 1.6 and 1 nm, respectively. The CEP estimates for Minuteman III’s first, second, and third Mark 12 ree...
- Sun Apr 27, 2025 6:45 pm
- Forum: History and Warfare
- Topic: The SAFEGUARD ABM System's OIF Kills
- Replies: 4
- Views: 829
Re: The SAFEGUARD ABM System's OIF Kills
I've been playing with radar horizon calculators as well as Google Earth. Baylor's simulation of a LGM-30F (Light, No decoys) on a maximum range target was: Stage 3 Burnout @ 212.4 km altitude. Apogee @ 1452 km altitude. He also said that from Minuteman II onwards, the launch programmer allowed for ...
- Sun Apr 27, 2025 1:48 am
- Forum: History and Warfare
- Topic: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
- Replies: 62
- Views: 4213
Re: Plotting out WWIII: It's Really HARD
https://bpb-us-e1.wpmucdn.com/wordpressua.uark.edu/dist/3/246/files/2016/05/Minuteman-Trajectory-Simulation.pdf In conjunction with the slight deceleration of Stage III, separation springs in the RV mechanical system pushed the RV away from the NS10 guidance set. From this point - 272 nautical miles...
- Thu Apr 24, 2025 12:48 am
- Forum: History and Warfare
- Topic: The SAFEGUARD ABM System's OIF Kills
- Replies: 4
- Views: 829
Re: The SAFEGUARD ABM System's OIF Kills
I've had several years to think on this; and I've realized something about SAFEGUARD + GMD. Remember that the original systems design for SAFEGUARD was actually called SENTINEL and was a much bigger deployment: Sentinel-Deployment.gif Notice how: Fairbanks, AK Seattle, WA Malmstrom AFB, MT Grand For...