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Re: ...Saying The Quiet Part Out Loud...

Posted: Fri Feb 03, 2023 8:49 pm
by Craiglxviii
Belushi TD wrote: Fri Feb 03, 2023 3:47 pm As I posted in the other thread on this topic...

F-35 with vectored thrust to pop the balloon. Wait until its over unpopulated farmland (not grazing land, farmland, since its, you know, winter). Then pop the damn thing. Pick up the chunks. Write the farmer a check.

Belushi TD
You said an F-22 in the other thread ;)

Edit. No you didn’t. Dammit. Mea culpa!

Re: ...Saying The Quiet Part Out Loud...

Posted: Fri Feb 03, 2023 8:57 pm
by Micael
Chinese President Xi Jinping ordered the army to be ready to conduct an operation to establish control over Taiwan by 2027, - CIA chief Williams said.

Re: ...Saying The Quiet Part Out Loud...

Posted: Fri Feb 03, 2023 9:04 pm
by Johnnie Lyle
Pdf27 wrote: Fri Feb 03, 2023 6:47 pm
MikeKozlowski wrote: Fri Feb 03, 2023 1:19 pmBut even if somebody threw away the book, it would still take a few hours if for no other reason than they wouldn't keep fully assembled missiles on hand, and then they need to check them out, then take them the 4.25 miles from the bomb dump to the ramp, and then load them.
It's a balloon, from a state we aren't at war with. That means it's going nowhere fast, and indeed turning up fast. Saying that F-22s were "scrambled" is journalese for "they took off".
And the idea that you genuinely scramble fighters at extremely short notice to go and take a look at an incoming weather balloon of unknown origin which has just come over from Canada and only decide after doing so that you aren't going to shoot it down is just risible.
Maybe. There are benefits to being able to immediately execute the order, which requires setting it up beforehand. It’s quite possible that the fighters were launched for that very reason, especially if they expected the order would be given.

Re: ...Saying The Quiet Part Out Loud...

Posted: Fri Feb 03, 2023 10:23 pm
by Micael
The airforce appears to be shadowing the balloon with an Rc-135U Combat Sent.

Re: ...Saying The Quiet Part Out Loud...

Posted: Fri Feb 03, 2023 10:29 pm
by Micael
This seems to be the best public photo of the balloon so far.

Image

Re: ...Saying The Quiet Part Out Loud...

Posted: Fri Feb 03, 2023 11:20 pm
by Belushi TD
Craiglxviii wrote: Fri Feb 03, 2023 8:49 pm
Belushi TD wrote: Fri Feb 03, 2023 3:47 pm As I posted in the other thread on this topic...

F-35 with vectored thrust to pop the balloon. Wait until its over unpopulated farmland (not grazing land, farmland, since its, you know, winter). Then pop the damn thing. Pick up the chunks. Write the farmer a check.

Belushi TD
You said an F-22 in the other thread ;)

Edit. No you didn’t. Dammit. Mea culpa!
Hmmmm.... I may have originally said F-22, then thought that it was the F-35 with the vectored thrust and made an (in)appropriate edit. And either way, I displayed my ignorance, so I'm ok with just calling it even if you are!

Belushi TD

Re: ...Saying The Quiet Part Out Loud...

Posted: Sat Feb 04, 2023 12:56 am
by Micael
Saying there’s a third balloon over latin america somewhere now.

Re: ...Saying The Quiet Part Out Loud...

Posted: Sun Feb 05, 2023 3:09 am
by Luigil101
This is getting to be a really bizarre year, and we're only in February

Re: ...Saying The Quiet Part Out Loud...

Posted: Sun Feb 05, 2023 3:46 am
by Johnnie Lyle
Luigil101 wrote: Sun Feb 05, 2023 3:09 am This is getting to be a really bizarre year, and we're only in February
It’s a bizarre decade, and getting worse by the day.

Re: ...Saying The Quiet Part Out Loud...

Posted: Sun Feb 05, 2023 5:18 am
by Nightwatch2
Johnnie Lyle wrote: Sun Feb 05, 2023 3:46 am
Luigil101 wrote: Sun Feb 05, 2023 3:09 am This is getting to be a really bizarre year, and we're only in February
It’s a bizarre decade, and getting worse by the day.
Amen to that!!

Re: ...Saying The Quiet Part Out Loud...

Posted: Tue Feb 07, 2023 4:19 pm
by Micael
In other China news.
BREAKING: The U.S. military has notified Congress that China now has more land-based intercontinental-range missile launchers than the US - WSJ

Re: ...Saying The Quiet Part Out Loud...

Posted: Sat Feb 11, 2023 1:08 pm
by Micael
And if you want to see one of the weirdest Chinese propaganda videos yet, click here:
https://twitter.com/sr_planespotter/sta ... Mv9Jnp9CUA

Re: ...Saying The Quiet Part Out Loud...

Posted: Sun Feb 12, 2023 4:06 am
by Nightwatch2
Micael wrote: Sat Feb 11, 2023 1:08 pm And if you want to see one of the weirdest Chinese propaganda videos yet, click here:
https://twitter.com/sr_planespotter/sta ... Mv9Jnp9CUA
Uh, they’re preparing the population for nuclear war

Re: ...Saying The Quiet Part Out Loud...

Posted: Sun Feb 12, 2023 4:39 am
by Johnnie Lyle
Nightwatch2 wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 4:06 am
Micael wrote: Sat Feb 11, 2023 1:08 pm And if you want to see one of the weirdest Chinese propaganda videos yet, click here:
https://twitter.com/sr_planespotter/sta ... Mv9Jnp9CUA
Uh, they’re preparing the population for nuclear war
If there’s a nuclear war they won’t have a population.

Re: ...Saying The Quiet Part Out Loud...

Posted: Sun Feb 12, 2023 10:35 pm
by Nightwatch2
Johnnie Lyle wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 4:39 am
Nightwatch2 wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 4:06 am
Micael wrote: Sat Feb 11, 2023 1:08 pm And if you want to see one of the weirdest Chinese propaganda videos yet, click here:
https://twitter.com/sr_planespotter/sta ... Mv9Jnp9CUA
Uh, they’re preparing the population for nuclear war
If there’s a nuclear war they won’t have a population.
Very true

Reality doesn’t appear to be part of their calculation

Re: ...Saying The Quiet Part Out Loud...

Posted: Sun Feb 12, 2023 10:57 pm
by Johnnie Lyle
Nightwatch2 wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 10:35 pm
Johnnie Lyle wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 4:39 am
Nightwatch2 wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 4:06 am

Uh, they’re preparing the population for nuclear war
If there’s a nuclear war they won’t have a population.
Very true

Reality doesn’t appear to be part of their calculation
Reality doesn’t seem to be part of a lot of people’s calculations - especially those in positions of authority.

Re: ...Saying The Quiet Part Out Loud...

Posted: Sun Feb 12, 2023 11:00 pm
by Craiglxviii
Nightwatch2 wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 4:06 am
Micael wrote: Sat Feb 11, 2023 1:08 pm And if you want to see one of the weirdest Chinese propaganda videos yet, click here:
https://twitter.com/sr_planespotter/sta ... Mv9Jnp9CUA
Uh, they’re preparing the population for nuclear war
Do I recall correctly that the PRC is rather vulnerable (more so than the size of the country would suggest) to a counter population strike?

Re: ...Saying The Quiet Part Out Loud...

Posted: Sun Feb 12, 2023 11:03 pm
by Johnnie Lyle
Craiglxviii wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 11:00 pm
Nightwatch2 wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 4:06 am
Micael wrote: Sat Feb 11, 2023 1:08 pm And if you want to see one of the weirdest Chinese propaganda videos yet, click here:
https://twitter.com/sr_planespotter/sta ... Mv9Jnp9CUA
Uh, they’re preparing the population for nuclear war
Do I recall correctly that the PRC is rather vulnerable (more so than the size of the country would suggest) to a counter population strike?
Yes.

Stuart told a story where that was very pointedly indicated to formerly bellicose Chinese generals, in a way that sent them running for the head.

If anything, it’s probably even more true now. My understanding is that the Chinese population is urbanizing but not suburbanizing, packing large swaths of their most productive people into the dense urban centers.

Re: ...Saying The Quiet Part Out Loud...

Posted: Sun Feb 12, 2023 11:17 pm
by Craiglxviii
Johnnie Lyle wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 11:03 pm
Craiglxviii wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 11:00 pm
Nightwatch2 wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 4:06 am

Uh, they’re preparing the population for nuclear war
Do I recall correctly that the PRC is rather vulnerable (more so than the size of the country would suggest) to a counter population strike?
Yes.

Stuart told a story where that was very pointedly indicated to formerly bellicose Chinese generals, in a way that sent them running for the head.

If anything, it’s probably even more true now. My understanding is that the Chinese population is urbanizing but not suburbanizing, packing large swaths of their most productive people into the dense urban centers.
That was my memory, thanks for confirming!

Re: ...Saying The Quiet Part Out Loud...

Posted: Mon Feb 13, 2023 5:44 am
by Pdf27
Nightwatch2 wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 10:35 pmVery true

Reality doesn’t appear to be part of their calculation
I wouldn't assume that the people making the videos are the same ones responsible for grand strategy. The production values on that one for instance make it look like it was done by a 15 year old boy, which has never been a particular thoughtful demographic in any country...